MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Odds (2026)

Published on: January 5, 2026

Updated on: January 15, 2026

Category: Odds

MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Odds - Blog - Square Bettor

The following post features MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Odds (2026).

The 2026 MLB NL Rookie of the Year odds serve as a real-time barometer for the National League’s most impactful newcomers, reflecting how sportsbooks value each prospect’s transition to the majors.

Read: MLB AL Rookie of the Year Award Odds

Related: Tips for Betting on MLB Rookie of the Year

Beyond the betting lines, the race ultimately comes down to which young star can maintain elite production over a full season’s workload while adjusting to the high-level scouting of MLB pitching and defense.

So, how is the NL Rookie of the Year Award race shaping up for 2026? Here’s what you need to know.

MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Odds (2026)

Below is a table displaying the odds for the MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Odds (2026). Click here for the very latest odds (via OddsChecker).

Player

Team

Current Odds

Odds (1/4/2026)

Nolan McLean

New York Mets

Current Odds

+340

Sal Stewart

Cincinnati Reds

Current Odds

+500

JJ Wetherholt

St. Louis Cardinals

Current Odds

+700

Bubba Chandler

Pittsburgh Pirates

Current Odds

+700

Moises Ballesteros

Chicago Cubs

Current Odds

+800

Justin Crawford

Philadelphia Phillies

Current Odds

+900

Konnor Griffin

Pittsburgh Pirates

Current Odds

+1200

Jonah Tong

New York Mets

Current Odds

+1200

Bryce Eldridge

San Francisco Giants

Current Odds

+1400

Owen Caissie

Miami Marlins

Current Odds

+1600

Carson Benge

New York Mets

Current Odds

+2000

Rhett Lowder

Cincinnati Reds

Current Odds

+2000

Andrew Painter

Philadelphia Phillies

Current Odds

+2500

Jhostynxon Garcia

Pittsburgh Pirates

Current Odds

+3000

Joe Mack

Miami Marlins

Current Odds

+3000

Hunter Barco

Pittsburgh Pirates

Current Odds

+3000

Aidan Miller

Philadelphia Phillies

Current Odds

+3000

Alex Freeland

Los Angeles Dodgers

Current Odds

+3000

Top Contenders (2026)

Nolan McLean

Nolan McLean enters 2026 as the clear favorite for NL Rookie of the Year after a tantalizing taste of dominance in 2025, posting a sparkling 2.06 ERA with 57 strikeouts in just 48 innings across eight late-season starts for the Mets while retaining rookie eligibility. The former two-way standout showcased electric stuff with a mid-90s sinker, high-spin sweeper, and a curveball that’s among the spinniest in baseball, generating elite whiff rates and weak contact even in his brief MLB debut. Locked into New York’s rotation as a potential Opening Day starter, McLean’s diverse arsenal and rapid development position him as the rookie to beat if he handles a full workload and builds on his ace-level upside.

Sal Stewart

Sal Stewart established himself as a promising building block for the Reds in 2025 with a strong late-season call-up, delivering impact power and plate discipline in limited action while flashing versatility across the infield corners. The former first-rounder brings a patient approach with emerging pop, projecting for middle-of-the-order production as Cincinnati’s young core matures around stars like Elly De La Cruz. Heading into 2026 with a everyday role likely at third or first base on a rising Reds squad, Stewart’s hit tool and run-producing potential make him a prime contender to post standout offensive numbers and challenge for the award.

JJ Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt headlines the Cardinals’ rebuild entering 2026 after a stellar minor league campaign in 2025 that saw him slash .306/.421/.510 with 17 homers, 23 steals, and elite contact skills across Double-A and Triple-A, earning top-prospect accolades without exhausting eligibility. The versatile infielder’s plus hit tool, speed, and on-base ability project him for immediate impact at second base or shortstop, especially with St. Louis clearing paths in a youth movement. As one of baseball’s most complete position-player prospects on a team hungry for young talent, Wetherholt’s all-around game positions him as a high-floor favorite to accumulate hits, runs, and WAR in a full rookie season.

Bubba Chandler

Bubba Chandler retains Rookie of the Year eligibility heading into 2026 after limited but electric 2025 MLB action for the Pirates, where late-season outings showcased his premium velocity, four-pitch mix, and swing-and-miss potential in a transition to the rotation. The switch-hitting convert brings triple-digit heat and sharp breaking balls that dominated in stretches, setting him up as Pittsburgh’s frontline arm alongside Paul Skenes. With a guaranteed spot in the Pirates’ young staff and upside for 200+ strikeouts if healthy, Chandler’s raw stuff and improving command make him a high-ceiling contender to dominate and rack up wins on a playoff hopeful.

Moises Ballesteros

Moises Ballesteros surged into Rookie of the Year contention in 2025 with impactful call-ups for the Cubs, providing elite offensive production from the catcher spot and DH role while proving his bat plays at the highest level. The left-handed slugger’s advanced hit tool and power generated strong averages and extra-base hits in limited time, positioning him as Chicago’s primary backstop or lineup mainstay. Entering 2026 with everyday at-bats likely split behind the plate and at DH on a contending Cubs team, Ballesteros’ offensive ceiling and run-producing ability project him for a breakout full season that could vault him to the top of the rookie class.

NL Rookie of the Year Dark Horses (2026)

Beyond the top contenders for the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year, several intriguing dark horses at long odds could emerge as surprise challengers with breakout seasons or rapid ascents. Quinn Mathews (+3300) leads the group as a polished left-hander for the Cardinals, dominating across levels in 2025 with a mid-90s fastball, devastating changeup, and elite command that produced sub-3.00 ERAs and high strikeout totals in Triple-A; a rotation spot in St. Louis’ contender could yield 150+ innings and strong ratios to surge into contention. Robby Snelling (+3500) brings high-upside stuff to the Marlins after a rebound 2025 featuring a 2.85 ERA, 166 strikeouts in 136 innings, and refined mechanics on his curveball-slider mix; the young lefty projects for an early debut and 10+ K/9 potential if Miami’s rebuild accelerates around him. Chase Petty (+4000) offers electric velocity for the Reds, flashing triple-digit heat and groundball inducement in limited 2025 MLB action despite inconsistencies; refined control in a full 2026 workload could unlock 180+ strikeouts and wins on Cincinnati’s rising staff. Charlie Condon (+5000) headlines Colorado’s youth movement after raking in Double-A during 2025 with plus power and plate discipline from his Georgia days; everyday at-bats in Coors Field could produce 30+ homers and elite run production as the Rockies’ cornerstone outfielder. Finally, longshot Ethan Holliday (+10000) is the high-pedigree sleeper for the Rockies, the 2025 fourth-overall pick flashing five-tool potential in his pro debut with advanced hit/power combo and athleticism at third base; aggressive promotion and family lineage upside could see him explode for All-Star caliber numbers if Colorado fast-tracks their top prospect.

MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award Winners (2016-Present)

The table below highlights every MLB NL Rookie of the Year Award winner since 2016.

Year

Player

Team

2025

Drake Baldwin

Atlanta Braves

2024

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates

2023

Corbin Carroll

Arizona Diamondbacks

2022

Michael Harris II

Atlanta Braves

2021

Jonathan India

Cincinnati Reds

2020

Devin Williams

Milwaukee Brewers

2019

Pete Alonso

New York Mets

2018

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Atlanta Braves

2017

Cody Bellinger

Los Angeles Dodgers

2016

Corey Seager

Los Angeles Dodgers

2025 NL Rookie of the Year Award Results

In the 2025 National League Rookie of the Year Award voting, Atlanta Braves catcher Drake Baldwin claimed the honor decisively, receiving 21 of 30 first-place votes from the Baseball Writers’ Association of America after a breakout campaign that saw him slash .274/.341/.469 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs, and strong defensive contributions behind the plate in 124 games. Chicago Cubs right-hander Cade Horton finished a strong second with the remaining nine first-place votes, dominating the second half with a 2.67 ERA and 97 strikeouts over 118 innings in 23 appearances, while Milwaukee Brewers infielder Caleb Durbin rounded out the top three with his all-around production including 11 homers, 18 stolen bases, and solid third-base play in 136 games. Baldwin, at age 24, became the first catcher to win NL Rookie of the Year since Buster Posey in 2010 and the 10th Brave to claim the award, powering Atlanta’s lineup despite sharing catching duties early in the season.

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